Tuesday, October 27, 2009

DAVID EINHORN

This guy is a noted bear, but a top long-short hedge fund manager. He comes from a bottom up approach but felt the need to express his macro views, he ends his summation with this chilling observation:

For years, the discussion has been that our deficit spending will pass the costs onto "our grandchildren." I believe that this is no longer the case and that the consequences will be seen during the lifetime of the leaders who have pursued short-term popularity over our solvency. The recent economic crisis and our response has brought forward the eventual reconciliation into a window that is near enough that it makes sense for investors to buy some insurance to protect themselves from a possible systemic event. To slightly modify Alexis de Tocqueville: Events can move from the impossible to the inevitable without ever stopping at the probable.

As investors, we can't change the course of events, but we can attempt to protect capital in the face of foreseeable risks.

 

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